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Pair of 2s vs Dealer 9: Hit

You're dealt a pair of 2s. The dealer shows a 9. Split or play it as one hand? Basic strategy answers:

HIT
Basic strategy · multi-deck · dealer stands on soft 17 · double after split allowed

The numbers for this exact hand

Hit ←-0.2407
Split-0.3651
Stand-0.5432
Double-1.0863
You bust on the next card0.0%
Dealer 9 busts22.8%

Hit is worth 0.1245 more per unit than Split. On a $10 bet that is $1.24 handed over every time you get it wrong. Across the 340 situations in this chart it ranks 276th by expected value — better than 64 of them, worse than 275. Expected value is per unit staked, computed for multi-deck, dealer stands on soft 17, double after split allowed. The model and the code are published as data.

A dealer 9 is too strong to justify splitting 2s — you'd just be doubling your exposure with two weak hands. Play the pair as a normal total of 4 instead: hit.

This hand vs every dealer card

2SP3SP4SP5SP6SP7SP8HI9HI10HIAceHI
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