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Pair of 7s vs Dealer 8: Hit

You're dealt a pair of 7s. The dealer shows a 8. Split or play it as one hand? Basic strategy answers:

HIT
Basic strategy · multi-deck · dealer stands on soft 17 · double after split allowed

The numbers for this exact hand

Hit ←-0.3719
Split-0.3890
Stand-0.5105
Double-0.7663
You bust on the next card46.2%
Dealer 8 busts24.5%

Hit beats Split by 0.0171 per unit staked. Small, but it is the same small edge in every shoe you ever play — and it compounds over a lifetime of hands. Across the 340 situations in this chart it ranks 313th by expected value — better than 27 of them, worse than 312. Expected value is per unit staked, computed for multi-deck, dealer stands on soft 17, double after split allowed. The model and the code are published as data.

A dealer 8 is too strong to justify splitting 7s — you'd just be doubling your exposure with two weak hands. Play the pair as a normal total of 14 instead: hit.

This hand vs every dealer card

2SP3SP4SP5SP6SP7SP8HI9HI10HIAceHI
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