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Hard 10 vs Dealer 10: Hit

You hold a hard 10 (no ace counted as 11). The dealer shows a 10. Here is the mathematically correct basic-strategy play — and why.

HIT
Basic strategy · multi-deck · dealer stands on soft 17 · double after split allowed

A dealer 10 only busts about 21% of the time — most of the time they'll finish with 17 or better. Standing on hard 10 just waits to be beaten. Even though hitting busts you 0% of the time, improving your hand is the lesser risk against a strong dealer card.

Think of it this way: your 10 almost never wins as-is against a made dealer hand. The hit isn't reckless — it's the only path to a total that can actually win.

This hand vs every dealer card

2DO3DO4DO5DO6DO7DO8DO9DO10HIAceHI
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