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Pair of 6s vs Dealer 3: Split

You're dealt a pair of 6s. The dealer shows a 3. Split or play it as one hand? Basic strategy answers:

SPLIT
Basic strategy · multi-deck · dealer stands on soft 17 · double after split allowed

The numbers for this exact hand

Split ←-0.1367
Hit-0.2337
Stand-0.2522
Double-0.4674
You bust on the next card30.8%
Dealer 3 busts37.4%

Split is worth 0.0970 more per unit than Hit. On a $10 bet that is $0.97 handed over every time you get it wrong. Across the 340 situations in this chart it ranks 229th by expected value — better than 111 of them, worse than 228. Expected value is per unit staked, computed for multi-deck, dealer stands on soft 17, double after split allowed. The model and the code are published as data.

Against a dealer 3 (37% bust chance), splitting 6s turns one mediocre total into two playable hands while the dealer is vulnerable. With double-after-split allowed, you also keep the option to press each new hand — that's where the split profit comes from.

This hand vs every dealer card

2SP3SP4SP5SP6SP7HI8HI9HI10HIAceHI
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